Sunday, October 5, 2014

Vilenkin and Mithani: Did the Universe Have a Beginning?


Frequently when debating with an atheist I will bring up the beginning of the universe as evidence for a creator and the typical response is, “We don’t know that the universe had a beginning.”  Their claim is that models exist that are eternal, so the universe may not have had a beginning.  So far, this claim has not been supported by the math.  Alex Vilenkin and Audrey Mithani wrote a paper called, “Did the universe have a beginning?” where they examine,

three candidate scenarios which seem to allow the possibility that the universe could have existed forever with no initial singularity: eternal inflation, cyclic evolution, and the emergent universe.”

 
                                          



Here is what they wrote about each type of model:

Eternal Inflation Models

These models theorize that there was a period of exponential inflation during the very early phases of the Big Bang.  These type of models solve several questions surrounding the standard Big Bang model, which makes it a likely candidate for being plausible.  One of the consequences of these models is that they predict a multi-verse.  Once started inflation will continue into the infinite future.  The science magazines love to talk about this prediction as possible evidence for a multi-verse, but there’s a catch; the BGV Theorem has shown that if on average the universe is expanding, the universe/multiverse had a beginning. 

“Therefore, although inflation may be eternal in the future, it cannot be extended indefinitely to the past.”

Cyclic Models

Another type of model examined is the cyclic model.  These are the models that have an infinite series of big bangs followed by big crunches.  Entropy gives these models a couple of problems:

1).  With each bang/crunch cycle, the entropy continues to increase.  If the universe were eternal, we should have run out of usable energy and entered a state of “thermal death”.

2).  One way to avoid the thermal death scenario is to have each subsequent expansion get bigger and bigger for an infinite amount of time.  If this were to happen, the universe would on average be expanding more than it is contracting, which brings you back to the BGV theorem and a beginning.

Emergent Universe Models

In the emergent universe scenario, the universe is in a static quantum state until the “cosmic egg” decides to crack open.  This would bypass the requirement of the BGV theorem such that the average state of the universe would not be one of expansion.  In order for this type of model to succeed, a couple of conditions must be met.

“First, the universe should be stable, so that quantum fluctuations will not push it to expansion or contraction. In addition, it should contain some mechanism to exit the stationary regime and begin inflation.”

Vilenkin and Mithani demonstrate that quantum instability exists because there is a non-zero probability of quantum collapse, so the universe could not have existed in a quantum state for an infinite amount of time.

“Since the tunneling probability is nonzero, the simple harmonic universe cannot last forever…..there do not seem to be any matter sources that admit solutions that are immune to collapse”


Summary

While in scientific terms we are not 100% certain that the universe had a beginning, since nothing in science is considered to be 100% certain, all of the evidence we have suggests that it does.  This paper demonstrates that “eternal” models can only be eternal in one direction; the future. 

“At this point, it seems that the answer to this question is probably yes.  Here we have addressed three scenarios which seemed to offer a way to avoid a beginning, and have found that none of them can actually be eternal in the past.”